Operations & Systems
Forecast accuracy barely improves if sales input is still optimistic guesswork
D
this one keeps coming back around me lately.
Forecast accuracy barely improves if sales input is still optimistic guesswork
on paper it should be cleaner than this. real batches say otherwise. one run looks convincing, next run the signal gets mixed with weather, machine mood, green condition, storage, too many things. people speak like it is settled already, but on the floor it still feels messy.
if you tested this more than once, what actually held up and what part was just noise?
Forecast accuracy barely improves if sales input is still optimistic guesswork
on paper it should be cleaner than this. real batches say otherwise. one run looks convincing, next run the signal gets mixed with weather, machine mood, green condition, storage, too many things. people speak like it is settled already, but on the floor it still feels messy.
if you tested this more than once, what actually held up and what part was just noise?
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