The price of green bean 2026: Inexplicable Rising, Farmer and roaster are both dizzy | Green Bean & Farming Forum | Clorofile
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The price of green bean 2026: Inexplicable Rising, Farmer and roaster are both dizzy

D
satu minggu yang lalu
green bean prices are really weird right now. The year 2025 was very high, and many say it was a great momentum for the farmer. But in 2026 instead of going up and down, sometimes going up sharp, then it goes down again. What's the matter is, this is how things are going to get everybody to decide.

On the farmer side, so it's all in doubt. Want to get out more cost for fertilizer, care, or quality improve also think twice, because there is no certainty of price forward. While on the side of roaster, You want to sell the price to the customer so bad, but if you don't get the margins, Especially when it comes to the contract, the risk is growing.

What's interesting is that the price of rising logic should be good for the farmer, but the reality is that much more and more unstable. So the question is, is it actually a matter of supply chain, global market game, or is the system not healthy at first?

Wonder what's going on in that field. For the Roastery, how do you do the pricing again? Who plays green bean, safer contract or spot? And if there's a farmer here, what's the real condition now?
7 Replies
A
tiga minggu yang lalu
this farmer's side is very strong. Funeral fees, pecan wages, transportation to the steamer all aboard. But cherry prices are either stagnant farmers or down this year. The one who enjoyed the rise of the price, the chain was deep downstream, not getting back to us in the garden.
H
tiga minggu yang lalu
i as roaster also feel from the other side. Green prices can go up 20-30% in two months without warning, and I can't just pass cost to customer because the café menu is hard to change. The margins are so thin and the most dizziness is not planning the raw materials for the next three months.
Z
tiga minggu yang lalu
it's not a 2026-dollar phenomenon. Actually, this volatile trend has been going on for years and it's getting worse. One of the root problems: Indonesia does not yet have a price discovery coffee mechanism that is natural like Brazil or Colombia, so the price is easy to move a large middleman. Until there's a real commodity exchange going on, these conditions are hard to change.
V
tiga minggu yang lalu
some exporter has actually begun to nerve forward contract to the outside buyer. that's one way the hedge volatile and proven quite helpful stabilizers. the problem is that the little farmers in the upstream have no part of the same mechanism. they're still all- cash in harvest day.
E
tiga minggu yang lalu
it's hard to blame one side. Harvesters also take stock risks. roaster can't just raise the menu price. The consumers also have a tolerance limit. It's a structural problem that won't be solved just by blaming one layer.
A
tiga minggu yang lalu
i agree there's no one to blame. but if the system isn't fixed, it's going to stay there forever. the farmer at the end of the chain has at least leverage to negotiate the price. the structural problems are true, but who wants to start moving?
R
tiga minggu yang lalu
i started direct trade directly with two farmers on Flores last year. It's more expensive up ahead, but there's no mid-year heat. And the farmers are happy because the price they get is more fair. Not every roaster can do this, anyway, requires a minimum of contact and volume.

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