Climate Change in the Coffee Garden: Crisis or chance of a New Origin? · Global Voices? | Green Bean & Farming Forum | Clorofile
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Climate Change in the Coffee Garden: Crisis or chance of a New Origin? · Global Voices?

B
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Lately it's been proven that climate change is no longer a theory issue, but it's been happening directly in the garden. Many of the old stable origin now began to "shift" the harvest changed, the weather was getting more and more unpredictable, and some say that some areas are starting to become unsuitable for arabica. What's the question, is this just a temporary phase or are we getting into a big change in the coffee industry?

If you're right in front of some "lost" origin or changed characters, which means roaster should also have changed profiles, sourcing changes, even taste expectations customer can also change. Do you think it's going to be a major crisis or is it going to open up the possibility of a new original that hasn't been exported yet?
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7 Replies
A
tiga minggu yang lalu
in the field, it's already felt so good. the rainy season retreated 6-8 weeks from a normal pattern five years ago in my area. the harvest is unpredictable. it's a direct impact on cashflow because farmers can usually plan the annual insomes of the season pattern. i can't now.
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there were some studies that showed the optimal height for Arabica shifting up to about 100-150 feet per decade due to the average temperature rise. Which means the production area now considered premium could be suboptimal in 20-30 years. It's not speculation, it's projected data.
M
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i as a premium buyer already feel this. the original origin which was consistent now can either be flat or off in a given year depending on the seasons. it's harder to buy long-term commitment because the quality variability is getting bigger.
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i just found out coffee is this sensitive with temperatures and seasonal patterns. All this time I thought coffee was on the way to roasting or the settlement. It's really complicated from upriver. The more respect a farmer can have in these conditions.
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dua minggu yang lalu
not that many people know about this. Arabic ideally grew at 18-24 degrees Celsius. If the average temperature rises even 1 -2 degrees, the flowering time changes, the risk of pests rising, and the harvest schedule shifts. The patterns that farmers have learned in decades no longer apply to that which makes their adaptation very difficult.
T
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there's an optimistic side that's often forgotten: previously too cold or too high for coffee, now there's the suitable possibility. A higher part of Ethiopian highland, part of Papua. It's a new original potential that hasn't been explored much.
U
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the odds that Tommy's mom mentioned are real. But keep in mind that opportunity requires capital to be converted into reality. The small farmers that garden it at 800m and the results start to drop due to weather, they have no capital to move to 1200m. Whose chance is that?

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